Saturday 08/15/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday 08/15/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be used for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL LONG SHEET


Week 7

Saturday, August 15


MONTREAL (5 - 1) at WINNIPEG (2 - 4) - 8/15/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL WRITE-UP

Week 7 CFL games

Saturday, August 15

Montreal (5-1) @ Winnipeg (2-4)-- Alouettes rebounded from first loss by blanking Toronto last week; all five of their wins are by 13+ points-- Als have road wins by 13 at Calgary, 33 in Regina, before 33-19 loss in Edmonton. Bombers lost three of last four games; underdog is 6-0 vs the spread in their games this season. Winnipeg was -2 in turnovers a week ago in Calgary (23-31), after being +13 in first five games of the season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trend Report

Saturday, August 15

8:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. WINNIPEG
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Montreal is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 7 preview and picks

Saturday, August 15

MONTREAL ALOUETTES AT WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS (+8, 48)

Winnipeg will try to run the ball and with backs like Fred Reid and Yvenson Bernard, they should. The problem is that it is exactly what the Alouettes will be expecting and have prepared for during practice. Will Michael Bishop be able to create chaos in Montreal’s secondary by throwing deep and take advantage of tall WR Adarius Bowman against two cornerbacks that are only 5-foot-9? That might be the key. But Bishop will need his offensive line to contain the Alouettes front seven if he is going to take advantage of that apparent mismatch. The defensive unit will also need to step up to slow down Anthony Calvillo and his impressive arsenal of receivers. The Bombers have the second-worst offensive record in the CFL and are facing the second most potent attack.

Pick: Montreal -8

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets (-120)

If you’re looking for a good spot to back Johan Santana and the Mets, it doesn’t get much better than Saturday’s tilt against the light-hitting San Francisco Giants.

Santana (13-8, 3.00 ERA) sometimes suffers from lack of run support, but he won’t need much to get by a Giants team that ranks No. 28 in Major League Baseball at 3.99 runs per game.

The Mets are also in a favorable spot against San Francisco’s Matt Cain (12-4), who has lost his past two starts and shown some trouble with his control.

If the Mets can find a way to get a couple of runs on the board early, they should be in great shape for bettors and this is about as good of a price you could hope for.

The Mets are 5-0 in Santana’s last five starts against the National League West, and 5-1 in his past six Saturday starts.

Pick: Mets


Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds (-180)

The struggling Cincinnati Reds and their woeful pitching staff might just the cure for the road-weary Nationals, who had won seven straight before starting another recent losing skid.
The heart of Washington’s lineup including Ryan Zimmerman and Adam Dunn blasted away against mediocre pitching during their winning run. They’ll have a chance to do the same against the Reds’ Johnny Cueto, who is 1-4 in his last five starts against teams with losing records.

Conversely, the Nationals have posted a 5-1 mark against teams with losing records and face a Reds club that has given their home fans just two wins in their past 10 outings.

Pick: Nationals

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Johan Santana, New York Mets

When he’s on his game, Santana is still one of the most formidable hurlers in the game. Lately, the Mets have seen the best of him.

Santana (13-8, 3.00 ERA) is 4-1 with one no-decision in his past six starts, with two shaky outings sandwiched in between four trademark, shutdown performances.
He has given up one or fewer earned runs in the four wins and lasted at least seven innings in those victories.

Doug Davis, Arizona Diamondbacks

Davis (7-10, 3.49 ERA) has been prone to the occasional crooked number, which has hurt his overall record. But lately he has found his groove and become a model of consistency for the Diamondbacks.

The 33-year-old lefty is 3-0 with one no-decision in his past four starts. He has given two earned runs in each of his past three starts, which includes wins over the New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates.


Slumping

Johnny Cueto, Cincinnati Reds

Cueto has come to exemplify the struggles of the Reds’ starting pitching, as he is 0-5 with two no-decisions in past seven starts.

The 23-year-old Cueto (8-9, 4.23 ERA) has been inconsistent, giving up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. He also has failed to make it past the sixth inning in each of his past six outings.

Matt Cain, San Francisco Giants

Cain might still be a candidate for the NL Cy Young Award, but the 24-year-old righty has had some recent struggles.

Cain (12-4, 2.44 ERA) is 0-2 with a no-decision in his past three starts. His losses include ugly outings against the Houston Astros and Cincinnati Reds in which he gave up nine earned runs in two starts.

He struggled with location in these losses and was tagged for a total of four home runs in the two-start span.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Seattle Storm at Atlanta Dream (-3, 154)

The Dream’s offense appears to be heating up, just as the slumping Storm’s offense has been stuck in slow-down mode.

The Dream (12-11), who have won and covered in three of their past four home games, have been filling up the basket at a frenetic pace that has seen their offense soar to second in the league at 82.9 points per game.

The Storm (13-10), on the other hand, have struggled to get much production out of anyone aside from stars Sue Bird and Lauren Jackson. They have lost four of six overall, and clipped 75 points just twice in that span.

Seattle has failed to give bettors the cash in five straight games and this doesn’t look like a good spot to fade the trend.

Pick: Atlanta -3


Detroit Shock at Indiana Fever (-7, 149)

The defending champion Shock have struggled all season to recapture their winning ways. Beset by injuries and a coaching change, Detroit has improved since the All-Star break, but time is running out.

Saturday’s visit to Indiana could be a do-or-die game for Detroit. The Shock are sure to have motivation on their side in this one, even though the Fever (18-5) can safely conclude that it has the better team.

The Shock (9-12) have split their last two road games, with the losses coming by a total of nine points. The Fever return from winning two of a three-game road swing.

Detroit has improved its rebounding and offensive balance and it’s fair to believe it will not let this one get away without a fight.

Pick: Detroit +7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL LONG SHEET

Saturday, August 15

ATLANTA (2 - 2) at DETROIT (4 - 0) - 8/15/2009, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CHICAGO (1 - 3) at BUFFALO (2 - 2) - 8/15/2009, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (3 - 1) at TENNESSEE (3 - 1) - 8/15/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (2 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (2 - 2) - 8/15/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (0 - 4) at GREEN BAY (1 - 3) - 8/15/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (3 - 1) at SAN DIEGO (3 - 1) - 8/15/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL SHORT SHEET

Saturday, 8/15/2009

ATLANTA at DETROIT, 4:00 PM ET
ATLANTA: 5-1 ATS as an underdog
DETROIT: 11-4 Under if the total is between 35.5 and 38

CHICAGO at BUFFALO, 7:00 PM ET
CHICAGO: n/a
BUFFALO: n/a

TAMPA BAY at TENNESSEE, 8:00 PM ET
TAMPA BAY: n/a
TENNESSEE: n/a

HOUSTON at KANSAS CITY, 8:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 7-1 Over in August
KANSAS CITY: 1-7 ATS in preseason

CLEVELAND at GREEN BAY, 8:00 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 1-4 ATS in non-conf games
GREEN BAY: 24-11 Over as favorite

SEATTLE at SAN DIEGO, 10:00 PM ET
SEATTLE: 7-1 ATS in all preseason games
SAN DIEGO: 34-19 Over vs. NFC

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Carlo Campanella

NFL | Aug 15
Cleveland Browns vs. Green Bay Packers Cleveland Browns
+3-120 at BOOKM > 18h.
Former Jets Head Coach Eric Mangini was 3-1 SU during last year's exhibition season with New York. He's now in his first year in Cleveland and has brought most of his staff with him. You can be sure that he wants Browns ownership and fans to know that he can make this team a winner and that he was the right man for the job. A win here would increase everyone’s confidence following the Browns disappointing 4-12 finish to the 2008 season.
While Browns Quarterbacks Brady Quinn and Derek Andersen will never be confused with the Joe Montana and Steve Young controversy years ago in San Francisco, they are both capable of being starters in the NFL- Andersen played in the Pro Bowl a few years back and Quinn lead Notre Dame to several winning seasons and Bowl games. That was the past and they must now impress the new coaching staff that they can produce in the new offensive system as they battle for the starting position. Not only will this starting battle insure that both of these guys are going to be playing their best, but that they will be splitting a lot of playing time during the Preseason.
After a disappointing 6-10 finish last season, Green Bay hired Defensive Coordinator Dom Capers to install his 3-4 defensive system. While starting positions are up for grabs, changing from the 4-3 to the 3-4 will take some learning and may allow Cleveland’s battling QBs to mae some big plays in this preseason contest.
7* Play On Cleveland

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

MLB | Aug 15
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers Total
8½ un+105 at BOOKM > 17h.
Comerica Park is a large place, friendly for pitchers and partly explains the Tigers' offense struggles in 2009. Kansas City comes to town with a weak offense and a live young arm in Luke Hochevar, who has 18 Ks his last 18 innings. Detroit goes with Edwin Jackson (2.79 ERA), who has been sharp most of the year. Don't look for many runs in this one, play the Royals/Tigers Under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rob Vinciletti

MLB | Aug 15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Los Angeles Dodgers
-125 at BODOG > 18h.
On Saturday, congrats to those on the 7 unit mlb GOY winner moving the record to 3-0 on six units or above this year.The comp play is on the LA.Dodgers.Game 905 at 8:10 eastern.The Dodgers come into this one off back to back losses,a role in which they are 10-3 this year.La.is 27-8 this year when the total is 9 to 9.5 and still a solid 32-14 in division play.Arizona is 4-9 as a home dog in this range this year.The D-backs are averaging just 4 runs per game on .240 hitting vs divisional opponents and have lost 6 of 9 to the Dodgers this year.In the pitching matchup the Dodgers have Kuroda going against Arizona lefty Davis.La. has cashed 5 of 7 on the road when Kuroda pitches.Arizona has cashed just 5 of 13 in Davis home starts.I look for the Dodgers to get this series even here on Saturday.On the Saturdays unit rated card I have 2 more big Dominator systems a side that is 19-2 and a totals play that has cashed 12 of 13 times.Both games beat the number by 3 runs.Dont miss out,jump on and start cashing.For the Bonus Play back the Dodgers bol RV-

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Alexander

MLB | Aug 15
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets Total
7 un-110 at BOOKM > 14h.
Bonus Play for August 15, 2009
1 Unit on Giants/Mets UNDER 7
The Giants and the Mets combined for only 3 runs Friday with Zito and Parnell on the hill so I'll certainly give this matchup a go on the under again Saturday with Santana and Cain facing off. Cain comes in at 12-4 with an ERA of 2.44 and Santana enters at 13-8 with an ERA of 3.00. Plus, Santana has been nearly unhittable at home, going 8-2 with an ERA of 2.07 and Cain has been better than good on the road, going 6-2 with an ERA of 2.51. With these aces going, I expect another low scoring affair.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mikey Sports

NFL | Aug 15
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs
-2-110 at BODOG > 18h.
Free NFL Preseason Play

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

SATURDAY SEAHAWKS +3.5

 

[motor87]

axiumsports.com
August 15th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$2,000.91

Pick #16-Germany-Bundesliga 1 Soccer
16)Bet 25.81 to win 23.90 on Entracht Frankfurt/Numberg OVER 2.5 -108

Pick #17-MLB
17a)Bet 26.12 to win 25.12 on Chicago/Oakland UNDER 8.5 -104

17b)Bet 54.20 to win 52.12 on Chicago/Oakland UNDER 8.5 -104

Pick #18-MLB-
18aa)Bet 26.44 to win 24.71 on Toronto/Tampa Bay UNDER 9.5 -107
18ab)Bet 54.85 to win 51.26 on Toronto/Tampa Bay UNDER 9.5 -107

18ba)Bet 26.15 to win 24.44 on Toronto/Tampa Bay UNDER 9.5 -107
18bb)Bet 113.82 to win 106.37 on Toronto/Tampa Bay UNDER 9.5 -107

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Alex Smart

Minnesota Lynx @ Chicago Sky o161.0 (-110)
Sat Aug 15 '09 8:05p

The Minnesota Lynx take on the Chicago Sky in a contest I have pegged for being a high scoring affair that easily eclipses the number.
The Chicago Sky play their best basketball at home, where they have garnered a 8-2 record , and will be well prepared to run the floor tonight against a up-tempo take no prisoners style of basketball the Minnesota Lynx implement. The Lynx have averaged 83.4 PPG on offense in road games this season, while allowing 83.2 PPG. Needless to say a majority of their tilts have been run and gun affairs and I expect nothing to change in this spot. It must be noted that the Sky defense has allowed opponents an average of 78.8 PPG this season , so they are obviously susceptible to break downs, especially when under pressure.
Minnesota is 8-0 OVER in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season, with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 171.4 PPG. Minnesota is 11-2 OVER after playing a home game this season, which just happened, with the average combined score of those games, at 169.1 PPG.

Play OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jordan Haimowitz

MLB | Aug 15
LAA Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles Total
10 un-105 at BETUS > 11h.
ENJOY THE WINNER!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd

MLB | Aug 15
Houston Astros vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
-135 at BETUS > 11h.
Bonus Play
1 Unit on Milwaukee Brewers -135
The Brewers have got their bats going the past couple days and I like that to continue against the Astros' Moehler Saturday. The Astros have dropped each of his last 4 starts, 4 straight game 2's of a series and 6 straight Saturday games. The Brewers have won 6 of their last 17 Saturday contests and they will not be lacking any confidence against a Houston club that is just 4-14 in its last 18 meetings in Milwaukee. Bet the Brew Crew for 1 Unit Saturday.